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Ball State Cardinals @ Toledo Rockets
November 8, 2022
Line:  Toledo -11.5, O/U 50.5
5:00 PM PST / 8:00 PM EST

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Tuesday night MAC play can often produce big-time scoring. What’s not to love about the over in tonight’s matchup?

This Toledo team has a potent offense, ranking 25th in the nation with 35.9 points/game. Expect Toledo to easily get 30+ points tonight as they have done in 5 of their games already. That means Ball State just has to have a decent showing against a Toledo team giving up 27 points/game. Oddsmakers have way over-corrected for the past 10 games in this conference rivalry since the under has gone 8-2. This is the lowest point total by far in the past decade, with some matchups featuring lines at 70+ points. Over the last 10 seasons, when this matchup has had a double digit spread (-11 for Toledo tonight), a line of 50 points would have hit every time (5 for 5). The Over is 7-2 in the Rockets last 9 MAC games and is 9-0 in their last 9 games following a win. We feel the line in this game should be closer to 55-56 total points. Let’s take advantage.

Lots to like here – lock in Ball State vs Toledo OVER 50.5 for a winner!

BONUS PICK: Coyotes – Sabres UNDER 6.5 goals (NHL)