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CLIPPERS @ 76ERS
January 17, 2023
7:00 PM PST
Tuesday night in the NBA has us focused on the primetime matchup between the Philadelphia 76ers and Los Angeles Clippers. Oddsmakers have the line set at Philadelphia -1 and O/U 226 points. Where is the value? We see two of the top defensive teams in the NBA getting after it as the Clippers are ranked 3rd in opponent scoring (109.9 PPG) and Philly is ranked 4th (110.2 PPG). Issues might arise tonight finding buckets for LA as they will be without Paul George and Luke Kennard, who combine for 32.4PPG on the season and are two of their top 3-point threats. In games without PG13, the Clippers score less than 100 points 20% of the time. They will have to rely on a slow pace of play, smart shots, and physical defensive play tonight to stay in the game. Luckily, they hold opponents to just 105PPG at home and they are coming off a 4th quarter against Houston on Sunday where they allowed just 10 points. Both teams are in the bottom 10 in possessions/game so we should see some end of the shot clock attempts. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 Clippers games (all without George), covering by an average of 7 points/game. On 1 day rest, the under is 18-10 this season in Clippers games, hitting at a 64.3% rate. The most astounding and important trend: in Clippers home games this year the under is 20-3 (87% hit rate) and covering on average by 10 points/contest!
It’s simple: follow the value here – Take 76ers vs Clippers UNDER 226 points for a winner!