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NUGGETS – PELICANS
January 31, 2023
Line: Nuggets -6.5, O/U: 232.5
Tuesday night in the NBA offers an entertaining game out west between the New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets. We lock in on MVP Nikola Jokic whose prop lines are O/U 25.5points, O/U 10.5 rebounds, and O/U 10.5 assists. This will be the third matchup between these two teams.
In the first two, Jokic posted rebound totals of 16 and 11 respectively. In his last 8 games, he’s surpassed 10.5 rebounds 6 times, hitting this clip at a 75% rate. On the season, the Pelicans have allowed 14.55 rebounds/game to the center position and will likely be without Zion Williamson again tonight, leaving more rebounds for others to snag. Jokic has grabbed 25.5% of the Nuggets rebounds on the year which is incredible. Tonight, we feel that the Nuggets should have 45-50+ rebounds as a team (the last two games the Pelis opponents have averaged 55 rebs/game), leaving a large opportunity for Jokic. An important split: Jokic secures significantly more boards in home games, averaging 12.1 rebs/game (2.6 more rebounds/game than on the road). He dominates at Ball Arena in Denver. New Orleans is on a cold streak, losing 7 of their last 10. With their poor shooting come large amounts of rebound potential. Follow the value tonight. If the line shifts up to 11.5 you can buy it down or take it either way because we think he’s getting upwards of 12-15 boards tonight!
Take Nikola Jokic OVER 10.5 rebounds for a winner!