Raiders (-2.5, 45.5) @ Bears
September 25, 2022
1pm EST on FOX
The 0-2 Titans have not looked like the AFC #1 seed that they were last year. Derrick “King” Henry is only
averaging 53.5 rushing yards/game and 3.12 yards/carry thru 2 games. In week 1, quarterback Ryan
Tannehill looked decent going 20-33 for 266 yards and 2 TDs. What has skewed his stats so far was
Monday night’s beatdown at Buffalo where he was just 11-20 with 117 yards and 2 interceptions. Expect
their offense to get back to what works. Running the ball and short, easy completions. Tannehill has
averaged the 7th most air yards/attempt this year while he was ranked 23rd in this category last season.
Being down early has forced him to throw tougher deep balls and that will change against Oakland.
Tennessee’s focus will be offensive efficiency this week with many dump offs and screen passes.
Oakland ranks 28th in opponent passing yards. In the Raiders two games, they’ve allowed an average of
28.5 pass completions/game. Tannehill’s player prop is at just 18.5, a falsely deflated number. Especially
when the Titans defense has allowed the 3rd most points so they have been playing from behind. This
puts serious value on the over.
Free Pick: Ryan Tannehill OVER 18.5 Completions